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This tool allows you to find the match on which you have the highest probability of winning a bet.
The objective is to find the bet that the bookmaker underestimates.

step 1: estimate the probability of an event and fill in the fields below.
step 2: fill in your bookmaker’s odds.

The calculation is as follows:
Value = Odds × Probability
If the value is greater than 1.00, then the bet is a ValueBet and must be wagered.

Example with 2 odds :
Feliciano Lopez @3- Daniil Medvedev @1.41
I only use the fields “1” and “2”.

if I think de Feliciano Lopez has a 30% chance of winning:
3*0.3 = 0.9
1.41*0.7 = 0.987
there is no value bet

if I think de Feliciano Lopez has a 40% chance of winning:
3*0.4 = 1.2 >1
1.41*0.6 = 0.846
There’s a value bet on Feliciano Lopez.

if I think de Feliciano Lopez has a 20% chance of winning:
3*0.2 = 0.6
1.41*0.8 = 1.128 >1
there’s value bet on Medvedev

Example with 3 dimensions :

OM – Saint-Etienne 1.95 3.5 3.9

if I think OM has 50% chance to win, 35% chance to draw and 15% chance to lose then :
1.95*0.5 = 0.975
3.5 *0.35 = 1.225 >1
3.9*0.15 = 0.39
there is value bet on the N

if I think OM has a 40% chance of winning, a 50% chance of drawing and a 10% chance of losing then:
1.95*0.4 = 0.78
3.5 *0.5 = 1.75 >1
3.9*0.1 = 0.39
there is a big value bet on the N

if I think OM has a 50% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing and a 25% chance of losing then:
1.95*0.5 = 0.975
3.5 *0.25 = 0.875
3.9*0.25 = 0.975
there is no value bet