This tool allows you to find the match on which you have the highest probability of winning a bet.

The objective is to find the bet that the bookmaker underestimates.

step 1: estimate the probability of an event and fill in the fields below.

step 2: fill in your bookmaker’s odds.

The calculation is as follows:

Value = Odds × Probability

If the value is greater than 1.00, then the bet is a ValueBet and must be wagered.

Example with 2 odds :

Feliciano Lopez @3- Daniil Medvedev @1.41

I only use the fields “1” and “2”.

if I think de Feliciano Lopez has a 30% chance of winning:

3*0.3 = 0.9

1.41*0.7 = 0.987

there is no value bet

if I think de Feliciano Lopez has a 40% chance of winning:

3*0.4 = 1.2 >1

1.41*0.6 = 0.846

There’s a value bet on Feliciano Lopez.

if I think de Feliciano Lopez has a 20% chance of winning:

3*0.2 = 0.6

1.41*0.8 = 1.128 >1

there’s value bet on Medvedev

Example with 3 dimensions :

OM – Saint-Etienne 1.95 3.5 3.9

if I think OM has 50% chance to win, 35% chance to draw and 15% chance to lose then :

1.95*0.5 = 0.975

3.5 *0.35 = 1.225 >1

3.9*0.15 = 0.39

there is value bet on the N

if I think OM has a 40% chance of winning, a 50% chance of drawing and a 10% chance of losing then:

1.95*0.4 = 0.78

3.5 *0.5 = 1.75 >1

3.9*0.1 = 0.39

there is a big value bet on the N

if I think OM has a 50% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing and a 25% chance of losing then:

1.95*0.5 = 0.975

3.5 *0.25 = 0.875

3.9*0.25 = 0.975

there is no value bet